According to polls cited by the centrist group No Labels, support for a third party presidential candidate in 2024 is growing. To counter this trend, Democratic strategists are working with Never-Trump groups.
Former Republican columnist Bill Kristol, who co-founded the anti-Trump Lincoln Project, and Democratic strategist Ron Klain met recently at a gathering intended to oppose No Labels’ political efforts, according to the Washington Post.
The meetings’ organiser, Third Way, confirmed the June 6 event to Fox News Digital but would not provide further information owing to a confidentiality agreement.
A year and a half before election day in 2024, a recent poll found that one in four respondents preferred an unknown, unannounced possible candidate to either of the front-runners, President Biden or former President Trump. As a result, No Labels feels confident in its chances of winning.
According to Suffolk University Political Research Centre director David Paleologos, “with one-in-four voters choosing an unnamed candidate, voters are disrupting the calculus that they will automatically vote for one of the two major party choices.” A third of voters in each party prefer a different candidate to lead their ticket, according to the Suffolk poll.
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According to No Labels, this scenario demonstrates that voters are open to a candidate who stays away from the extremes of both parties. “American voters’ openness to an independent alternative in 2024 is unprecedented,” No Labels chief strategist Ryan Clancy told Fox News Digital.
Clancy made the case that a third-party candidate’s potential influence in the upcoming presidential election is likely understated by the poll. The poll reveals 23% support for a “unnamed and completely undefined third party alternative against two specific candidates with 100% name ID,” according to Clancy.
Once established, a “moderate candidate” might garner far wider support, claims Clancy.
According to Matt Bennett, founder of Third Way, “respondents could imagine whomever they like in that slot, from Bernie Sanders to Liz Cheney,” which is why polls that test an unidentified, unaffiliated candidate consistently perform well.
Bennett stated that there is a “overwhelming likelihood” that the Suffolk results are a high water mark for the third party because significant portions of those respondents will withdraw as soon as a candidate is announced.
If No Labels fields a candidate, it is currently unknown who they will run as a third party challenger in 2024. No Labels has called President Trump a “unacceptable” candidate, but it hasn’t said that it will put up a candidate if Trump doesn’t win the nomination. Regarding Biden, the likely Democratic Party contender, No Labels has had a difficult time getting rid of the assertion that a third-party candidate would assist Trump win a rematch of the 2020 election.
Numerous Democratic operatives and proxies have issued warnings that Biden would lose support if an independent moderate ran. No Labels, though, is adamant that its “unity ticket” will be supported “equally” by people who lean Republican and Democratic. The bold strategy for winning would gain electoral votes from purple and swing states all around the nation.
The idea of a third-party route to victory is absurd to Third Way and many others.
Bennett told Fox that the idea that No Labels can win anywhere, much less in the 25 states they believe they can carry, is the complete illusion.
Some third-party candidates do well in the early polls, but by election day, people have switched to one of the big parties because they “understand that they’d be throwing away their vote,” Bennett said.
After the early primary elections, No Labels—which has had success securing ballot positions in Arizona, Colorado, Alaska, and Oregon—has said it will decide whether to nominate a candidate for the slot. According to No Labels, both parties continue to put out nominees for office, including Trump and Biden. Because of his advanced age and low support ratings, Biden is not the Democratic Party’s preferred nominee, according to surveys.
Many members of the political class in Washington still haven’t realised how unhappy the public is with its options and how strongly they want something better, according to Clancy.
The group believes that 2024 will present the best opportunity in recent memory for a viable independent candidate.
When Perot ran for president in 1992, or at any other time in recent memory, the opening was substantially larger, according to Clarck. According to numerous polls, at least two thirds of Americans oppose a repeat of the 2020 election. Nobody should be surprised that many Americans are willing to cast their ballots for a different option if one becomes available in 2024.
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